Cameron’s plan to sell off the roads

Posted by Chris Ship. 19 March, 2012

Privatisation of the railways was one step too far even for Margaret Thatcher as she raced to sell off state-owned industries in the 1980s. So what would she make of the plans outlined by David Cameron today to sell off the roads?

At the heart of the proposals is a plan to leverage more private sector money into the maintenance and construction of our road network.

The part of the plan involving new roads is perhaps easier to understand. Much like the M6 toll in the West Midlands, a private company builds the road and then recovers the money and pays for the upkeep by charging drivers to use it.

The Prime Minister will say improvements to the A14 “could be part-funded through tolling.”

Less clear is how a private company would pay to maintain an existing road – as we are assured new tolls on these routes would not be an option.

The government wants large-scale private investment to come from sovereign wealth funds and pension funds. They could be paid a proportion of the Vehicle Excise Duty – but private firms would have to make this tax go further by spending it more efficiently than the Highways Agency. And they’d want to make a profit on the contact.

It’s a tall order and the attraction is not immediately obvious.

Drivers consistently say they pay enough tax and many will conclude the government should spend it on road schemes rather than give it to private firms looking to make money.

“You are safe now. You are in Syria.”

Posted by John Irvine. 19 March, 2012
With no sense of irony our cross-border guide proudly announced, “You are safe now.  You are in Syria.”
Everything’s relative of course.  He was a smuggler for whom the greatest threat in life is Turkish border guards.
Move on a few kilometres and the biggest threat to everyone is the Syrian army.
After Homs came Idlib and in the villages north of there people are sure they are next.  Many have already fled.  Binnish is half the town it was.
But Assad’s forces haven’t moved in just yet.  The only new arrivals are rebel fighters who escaped from Idlib.
We happened upon one of their bolt holes.
In a crowded room they cajole and brag the way young men do the world over.
But here they also compare bullet wounds and remember fallen brothers.
Mohammed is the joker in the pack.  A cheerful soul, he proudly shows off the bullet wound he sustained attacking the Assad militia group responsible for killing his brother.
Where coats should be hanging on the wall there are Kalashnikovs instead.  Mohammad snaps a single round from a magazine.  He says it costs four US dollars.  They get them from crooked Syrian army soldiers who can extort the high price because no-one else is supplying the rebels.
Despite this they remain an undefeated force.
This is a revolution of wildfires and the regime doesn’t have the manpower to put them all out at once.
Both sides have the capacity to perpetuate the stalemate but not to break it.

The Silk Road leads to the UK

Posted by Angus Walker. 19 March, 2012
When the Chancellor mentions that Sovereign Wealth Funds are welcome to invest in UK roads he is, of course, including China.
George Osborne was in Beijing in early February, before that in November 2010 when he had meetings with the bosses of CIC, China’s sovereign wealth fund.
China has around £1.8 Trillion of foreign currency reserves, a mountain of money that needs a big hole to keep it in. US treasury bonds have been the favoured destination for the piles of cash. With US/China relations cool and the US economy slumped the Chinese are open to other destinations for their cash.
So we could see British tax payers money being paid to the Chinese State, via the firm they have set up to run UK roads.
Note that the Chinese Sovereign Fund recently bought a few drops of Thames Water, a small chunk of the company, which was seen as Beijing dipping its toes into the UK infrastructure market.
A sign that the tide of Chinese cash may be turning and coming this way. The road to investment in the UK is open as far as the Chancellor is concerned.

A heavy toll?

Posted by Laura Kuenssberg. 19 March, 2012
This morning the PM is set to raise the prospect of private firms, whether British or international, spending money to look after our roads to maintain and radically improve our creaking infrastructure.
So far, so good. Except of course no firm would do this out of the goodness of their heart. They would be likely to get a slice of the £6 billion a year motorists spend on their tax discs. And on top of that if, and of course the hope is that they would, they spend heavily on new roads or widening parts of existing routes, like the A14, then they would be able to get the users of the road to pay.
The principle of road tolling is widespread of course in lots of parts of Europe. But the spectre of horrified reactions from drivers has nearly always faced politicians down in this country. The AA is already warning this morning that the consequences for motorists could be very expensive indeed.
And is it certain that firms would actually want to invest? The M6 toll road, on very limited British experiment, may be great to drive on, but that’s partly because it is so often very empty. The tolls have continued to rise on that road to some of the most expensive in Europe. Meanwhile traffic on the actual M6 has continued to grow. It has not proved to be a pain free money spinner for the companies involved. Nevertheless, the PM ’s speech this morning is the kind of talk about infrastructure that some businesses want to hear. There’s plenty more of that in our Business Club Budget special report later on ITV News.

Kandahar, Karzai and the Coalition

Posted by Martin Geissler. 16 March, 2012
It’s been a challenging week for the coalition in Afghanistan, to say the least. Last Saturday night an American soldier ran amok in Kandahar, claiming 16 civilian lives. His lawyer claims he should never have been here, that having sustained combat injuries during three tours in Iraq he may not have been in a suitable mental state to spend another tough spell in a combat zone.
The day before the rampage, we’re told, he witnessed an incident in which a friend lost his legs. Then he flipped.
That version of events will, rightly, prompt questions of the American military’s duty of care to its servicemen. Failure to spot the warning signs of post traumatic stress disorder can have catastrophic consequences. A full investigation is now being held into how this could have happened.
But whatever the cause, the episode has seriously damaged the coalition’s task here. There have been threats of reprisal from the Taliban, protests in major towns and cities and, yesterday, a call from the Afghan president to confine NATO troops to their main bases. The Afghan army, he says, is ready to look after its own people.
But it’s not. Nowhere near it in fact. Two years away at best.
I’ve spent a fascinating week in Helmand with the British military. Visiting their forward bases, joining them on patrol and talking long into the night with the squaddies and their commanding officers.
The mission here has moved from a “combat” phase to “transition”. Preparing for the day when foreign troops pull out and the Afghans are left to piece their country back together.
Behind the bombs and the bullets and the headlines there are signs, in certain places, of slow but steady progress. Families are moving back to some of the villages which saw fierce fighting just a few months ago. The foreign soldiers keep the insurgents at bay and allow normal life to return. Schools and clinics are opening.
People here have the same basic desires in life; some level of healthcare and a future for their children. Just like the rest of us. And if they have that, the theory goes, the Taliban will find it far harder to recruit.
Afghanistan will take decades to repair but the optimists will tell you the basic structure could just about be in place before the original pull-out date at the end of 2014.
Pulling the troops back to base now would shred that plan overnight. The Afghan army is big but ill-equipped, badly trained and low on morale and motivation. Below them there’s a national police force and then local cops whose loyalties could be bought or sold depending on which way the wind is blowing.
The past ten years, the cost and the sacrifice, would be difficult, at best, to justify.
Of course, there are many who believe that’s the inevitable outcome anyway. That as soon as an end-date to this campaign was announced the Taliban sensed a long-term victory. That the timeframe was built around getting the troops home (which always plays well with the electorate) and drawing down the mission as quickly as possible, without leaving chaos in the NATO wake.
In reality, Hamid Karzai’s demands were made for an Afghan audience. It doesn’t look good having your country’s future laid out before the press in the White House rose garden. Especially when you’re not there. But with every passing day, it seems, the fractures in his relationship with the West grow wider. If he’s being told to “play the game” he’s stopped listening. Again.
Politics and military strategy rarely sit comfortably together, and just now it’s hard to see the coalition leaving here any time soon with their mission accomplished and their honour intact.

Care for neurological conditions in ‘a bit of a state’

Posted by Lawrence McGinty. 16 March, 2012
There’s one group of MPs who regularly get up the governments nose – the all-party Public Accounts Committee. They have a brief to dig into every corner where taxpayers’ money is spent and report on whether it’s spent wisely.
Today they’ve dug into care for 2 million people with neurological conditions like Parkinson’s, Motor Neurone Disease and MS. And its in a bit of a state. In 2005, the goverment published a master plan, as it did for cancer and stroke. The PAC says baldly it has “not worked”.
Spending has gone up by 38% to nearly £3 billion. But there is still a postcode lottery for vital services like physiotherapy and speech therapy. And spending on social services for these patients is £2.5 billion. But “coordination of care…is poor”.
These failings show up in the figures; for example, a 32% increase in emergency admissions, well above the rate for the NHS as a whole.
Why? Because, the committee say, the government left it to local bodies to implement the Master Plan. Unlike cancer, they didn’t create a “Czar” to push the plan through. They didn’t monitor what local bodies did and didn’t hold them to account.
All this has an importance that goes far beyond this area of healthcare. Because “localisation” is just what Andrew Lansley wants to do to the NHS as a whole. This report is a warning of what could happen if they get it wrong once the Health Bill passes through parliament.

Ground Zero

Posted by Tom Bradby. 15 March, 2012

It’s all in the timing. Given its iconic importance across America and beyond, it was no great surprise that David Cameron chose to end his trip to the USA with a visit to Ground Zero.

But the developments in Afghanistan today (the Taliban calling off talks and Karzai demanding coalition troops withdraw to their barracks) were not helpful, to say the least.

The Prime Minister’s argument standing on Ground Zero (with which you may now be wearily familiar) was that the sacrifices in Helmand and elsewhere do serve a higher purpose; Afghanistan might not be quite the country Western leaders would like it to be, but it is no longer a safe haven for terrorists.

The trouble is that any student of history will find plenty of uncomfortable parallels. In the late 1960s, an exhausted and disillusioned America decided that it was going to hand over responsibility for defending the free world against communism in Asia to the forces of the ARVN; the Army of the Republic of South Vietnam. The argument went then that US ground troops had done enough to beat back the North Vietnamese and train their South Vietnamese colleagues and that the country they left behind should therefore be solid and stable.

It wasn’t and the chaotic departure from Saigon five years later was not pretty. It is hard to argue now that much was achieved in that intervention, save for the loss of more than fifty thousand American lives and those of countless Vietnamese.

Nobody wants Kabul to witness similar scenes. But as things stand, you wouldn’t confidently bet against it.

When is a deal a deal? Businesses complain as banks ‘change lending rules’

Posted by Laura Kuenssberg. 15 March, 2012

We’re all used by now, to hearing how hard it can be for small business to get money from the banks. We’re also pretty used to hearing about the government’s efforts to get new lending going, and will hear more of it later this week or early next when the Treasury plans to reveal its latest scheme to encourage the banks to make new loans. We are also used to hearing the banks say they are trying as hard as they possibly can to lend. Stephen Hester from RBS repeated that message again this afternoon.

What we’re less used to hearing about from politicians is what I have been hearing anecdotally across the country more and more. It’s not just that firms are finding it tough to get new loans or overdrafts. And we’ve discussed here before how some of the banks are renegotiating loans and then counting them as ‘new lending’ towards the targets the government set, even though the loan or overdraft is the same.  What is also a problem is how some companies say their banks are dealing with their existing lending, making lending more expensive and according to one expert, breaching their contracts.

Like in most walks of life, a deal is meant to be a deal. But some companies are finding their banks increasingly unwilling to stick to the terms of the deals they struck over their lending. One Scottish businessman, Calum  McLachlainn has been in business for more than twenty years, and with several different companies, has accounts with several different banks. It’s no surprise that he says previously the banks made it clear they were not interested in lending any new money, but that something changed about six months ago and the situation got dramatically worse. No longer are banks just reluctant to lend more he says,  but ‘they started saying we want to revisit your existing loans’. If there has been no change in circumstances, this is not meant to happen.

He told me one of his banks has asked him to ‘volunteer’ to accept an interest rate increase of 5 percent on one of his loans, a year and a half before the contract on the loan is up. If he does not accept that increase he says he’s been threatened with a whopping rise of 11 percent – either could add tens of thousands of pounds to the cost of one of his firms. He says ‘there is nothing we can do because I bank with 3 banks and they’re all saying the same thing….they’re not in the business of lending and we can cope with that, but when it comes to not honouring existing contracts, it really becomes difficult….if all the banks are doing this, we are finished’.

As things stand, his companies employ about 600 people. Right now, he says if it goes on, ‘we we would have to close companies and that would be the end of me being in business’. Of course if customers break their side of the deal with a bank then they are entitled to change or terminate any lending agreement. But for Calum, he says he has been told he is a good customer. One of the documents he showed me is testament to this, saying, ‘the existing loan has run in an entirely satisfactory manner…the decision is NOT based on the conduct of your account, but simply the fact that at this point, we do not have any appetite for further lending in this subsector.” He says he’s had good relationships with many of his own actual bank managers, some of whom are deeply unhappy at what they are having to do to hit central targets because it is ‘tantamount to being dishonest’.

Nick Singer, a leading Glasgow accountant, believes how the banks are behaving is potentially illegal under the civil law. He says he has been ‘inundated’ with appeals from customers who are having these kinds of problems. He says ‘banks are making a concerted effort…scrubbing agreements with clients…by threatening that there won’t be support for their business if they don’t agree to new terms.’ Singer asserts that if banks are forcing clients into accepting more expensive terms, it is illegal acts…you can’t operate like this.’  Trying to rewrite existing lending agreements when the client has stuck to the letter of the deal he says is in direct contradiction of the codes banks are signed up to.

Banks, he says, are scouring accounts for any evidence of breaches of contract that would give them an excuse to change terms. But even if there is nothing they are prepared to stretch the truth he says – ‘in most of the agreements I’ve been reading with lawyers, the breaches are fabricated.” With the very well documented problems for companies getting new finance some of his clients are so terrified that they no other bank would take them on that they accept new much more expensive terms. In other cases, even if the banks do not persuade their clients to accept new terms, they are sometimes imposing new ‘management charges’.  One of Singer’s clients for example, has accepted new ‘management charges’ of two thousand pounds every single month, even though there has been absolutely no change in the service he either requires or receives. But the client simply felt he had no choice because he feared no other bank would take him on in this climate. For many, no credit, means no business.

Another businessman, in property in a different part of the country writes to tell me that again in the last couple of years his bank had made plain that they did not want to expand their lending at all. But that his business lending recently took a ’sinister turn’. Without informing him, his bank devalued his property portfolio by 50%.  He says his manager has now ‘made it plan they are prepared to adopt a non-negotiable strategy” to force him to sell off chunks of the business if he can’t find financial support from any other banks. Again, he says there is nothing in the deal that he signed with the banks that has changed. He believes that his bank is not just making life difficult. They have essentially ‘dumped him’ he says, and he has been told that bank staff are being paid bonuses based on the amounts of cash they get back out of property and back into the banks’ coffers.

Let’s be clear, at the moment the government, is asking a lot of the banks. It may not be a popular thing to say, but it is absolutely true that it is not an easy time for the banks. Despite the public outrage at levels of bonus payments there is no point pretending the banking industry is somehow having fun at the expense of the rest of the country. We are asking them to get out of riskier lending, and many of them are trying to get out of particular sectors like property, especially in some parts of the country. And we are also asking them to build up their balance sheets, and hold more funds in reserve. The idea is if they have more cash in case of emergencies, if things go wrong they’ll be able to withstand the shock and the rest of us wouldn’t have to bail them out. But for an industry that for many years was in some regard acting as a salesman for cheap credit, rather than a sensible steward of enormous amounts of cash this is a very difficult transition to make.

But we are also as a country asking them to pursue a goal that pulls in the opposite direction, to get more money out of the door in lending to small businesses, which is often regarded as the riskiest bet. And the underlying tensions in the eurozone means it is costing them more to operate in the first place.

There are many bankers who genuinely want to re-build trust and help re-build the economy.  Indeed there are those at the very top of some banks who believe passionately that they do have a duty to lend more, to lend safely, and to persuade businesses that it is worth taking the risk to apply for finance. They are having to deal with the problem of lack of demand. Many firms are so nervous about spending because of the economic climate that they are simply not approaching banks for credit. RBS is fond of quoting the revealing statistic that actual take up of available overdrafts is at a historical low.

But making life almost impossible for some of their existing customers if they have done nothing wrong is surely not the way to change this situation.  Watch our reports on ITV News today at 6.30 and 10.

The British Banking Association told me that “When a loan or other borrowing facility is agreed, the bank will provide the customer with a letter setting out the full details, including interest, charges and the period for which the facility has been agreed.  The letter will also cover whether security is required and any specific conditions that may have been agreed, such as the provision of management accounts or minimum security values that must be maintained.  Details of the sort of circumstances that will lead to an earlier review or require payment will be provided, together with action that the bank might take if repayments are not made.  It’s important that customers read and fully understand the agreement and where appropriate seek independent advice before signing it.”

New PiP alert

Posted by Chris Choi. 15 March, 2012
There is “new evidence” say the NHS that 7,000 more women in the UK may be victims of the PiP scandal.  The French had previously said only PiPs after 2001 may have been made with “unauthorised silicone”, now they say PiPs before could also be effected.
This will not cause a big panic – because ANY women who has these sub-standard implants will already have been worried and feel they were victims of the scandal. What’s more, all breast implants should be checked after a decade – so any PIP implanted before 2001 would be in that category. Its worth mentioning that this is NOT “new evidence”, for months now at ITV News we have been hearing about internal paperwork from PiP showing the dodgy gel could have been used for many years more. In fairness the NHS has never publically said (as far as I recall) that pre-2001 PiPs are “safe”…the date came only from the French. By the time the French authorities came up with that date most of the women directly involved had already decided they would take anything from that source with a pinch of salt.
The real worry is that it adds to the confusion for women going through a hellish time  - and it will further knock confidence in the NHS and how it is handling this affair.  Women need to know the authorities, in Britain and France, know what they are talking about…have got ALL the facts right. This latest episode reveals flaws in the advice they have given so far and will introduce new doubts about the future.

update

Posted by Laura Kuenssberg. 15 March, 2012

Tesco denies any suggestion that Richard Brasher left because he had been over ruled by Philip Clarke in the summer. Sources say it is ‘perfectly natural’ that now the UK business needs more attention after a tricky time, that the group chief executive would want to get his hands more directly on the tiller. And they say it is not true that Brasher walked out as a result of Clarke’s decision to get more involved.